Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
56.59% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( -0) | 22.49% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65% ( 0.01) | 34.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.01% ( 0) | 56.98% ( -0) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( -0) | 12.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.82% | 38.18% ( -0) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% ( 0.01) | 64.24% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.52% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.93% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.49% |
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