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MU
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
SJ

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Beason (38' og.), Hlongwane (75')
Bran (25'), Rosales (59'), Lod (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gruezo (45'), Judd (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 DC United
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Houston
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

While Minnesota United have struggled for results in recent weeks, they head into Saturday's game unbeaten in nine of their last 10 MLS games against San Jose Earthquakes. We predict that Ramsay's men will find their feet this weekend against the Quakes, who have picked up just three points from a possible 36 since May 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
56.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)34.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82%38.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)28.48% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)64.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 56.59%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.49%
    Draw 20.92%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.52%
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 0.93%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 DC United
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 14 at 2.27am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Houston
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 6-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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