SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
56% ( 0.18) | 22.06% ( 0.19) | 21.93% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( -1.36) | 41.12% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( -1.4) | 63.51% ( 1.4) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.44% ( -0.4) | 14.56% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.39% ( -0.78) | 42.61% ( 0.77) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -1.1) | 32.4% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( -1.26) | 68.92% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.93% |
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