SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
21.07% ( -0.11) | 26.49% | 52.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.42% ( -0.1) | 59.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% ( -0.08) | 79.92% ( 0.08) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.18) | 43.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( -0.15) | 79.91% ( 0.15) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.01) | 22.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 0.01) | 56.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.88% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.43% |
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