SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
35.15% ( 0.02) | 27.88% ( 0) | 36.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.17% ( -0) | 57.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.45% ( -0) | 78.55% ( 0) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( 0.01) | 31.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( 0.01) | 67.53% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.01) | 30.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -0.02) | 66.18% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 3% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.97% |
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