SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
34.18% ( -0.92) | 29.14% ( -0.22) | 36.67% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.69) | 62.35% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18% ( 0.5) | 81.99% ( -0.5) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.26) | 34.17% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( -0.28) | 70.86% ( 0.28) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( 1.1) | 32.52% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( 1.21) | 69.05% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.67% |
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