SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
42.14% ( -0.11) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% ( -0) | 59.38% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0) | 79.76% ( 0) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.06) | 27.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.08) | 63.42% ( 0.08) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% ( 0.07) | 35.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% ( 0.07) | 72.5% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 42.13% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.83% |
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