SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
38.75% ( -0) | 24.93% ( -0) | 36.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.01) | 45.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( 0.01) | 67.72% ( -0.01) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0) | 23.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( 0.01) | 57.12% ( -0) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.01) | 24.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( 0.02) | 58.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.32% |
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