Both sides will head into Saturday's game seeking their first win of the season after failing to pick up an opening-day victory in the league's curtain-raiser last weekend. The Us have been impressive in the recent history of this fixture and we predict they will extend their dominance and come away with all three points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
39.62%	25.38%	34.99%

Both teams to score 56.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41%

47.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.79%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.89%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7%

26.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57%

61.42%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 39.62%

Philadelphia Union 34.99%

Draw 25.38%

CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.99%