While Sporting should be expected to claim a fifth straight win over Moreirense, a dip in performance and results since Amorim's departure suggests the Lions could face more bumps in the road in their transition to a new regime.
Therefore, a draw is a plausible outcome on Wednesday, which would be particularly satisfying for the hosts, who could extend their unbeaten streak at home to six this term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 0-3 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.33) 
0.57) 
