Fresh off the back of holding Manchester City to a goalless draw, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday's game in sky-high confidence. Looking at past results between the sides, and the gulf in class and quality in their squads, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to cruise to a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
18.08%	21.18%	60.73%

Both teams to score 54.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.31%

42.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.91%

65.09%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.79%

37.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01%

73.99%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4%

13.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26%

40.73%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 18.08%

Sporting Lisbon 60.73%

Draw 21.19%

Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.08%	1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.19%	0-1 @ 10.09% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.73%