Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
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