SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
| 62.5% | 21.18% | 16.32% |
| Both teams to score 50.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% | 45.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% | 67.98% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% | 14.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% | 41.56% |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% | 41.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% | 77.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.49% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.12% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.32% |
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