Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
65.16% ( -0.26)	19.9% ( 0.05)	14.93% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.26% (

0.19)

42.74% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

0.19)

65.14% (

-0.19)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

-0.02)

12.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.86% (

-0.03)

38.14% (

0.03)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

0.4)

41.14% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

0.36)

77.68% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Nacional 65.15%

Liverpool 14.93%

Draw 19.9%

Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.4% Total : 65.15%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.9%	0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.93%