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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
39.89% ( 0.3) | 25.15% ( -0.06) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.22) | 46.53% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.2) | 68.81% ( -0.21) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.25) | 23.15% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.36) | 57.02% ( -0.37) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( -0.04) | 25.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -0.05) | 60.78% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.96% |
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