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Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
N

Atlanta
0 - 2
Nashville


Williams (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muyl (5'), Williams (76')
Surridge (45+4'), Williams (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-1 Nashville SC

Atlanta are likely to secure a win given their strong home form and recent attacking prowess while Nashville have struggled on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
56% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.44% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.56% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-0.144 -0.14)37.42% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-0.156 -0.16)59.64% (0.155 0.16)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.146 -0.15)13.32% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.297 -0.3)40.17% (0.296 0.3)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.121 0.12)29.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.148 0.15)65.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56%
    Nashville SC 22.56%
    Draw 21.44%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 22.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Santos Laguna (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 9pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 DC United (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Austin
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Nashville (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, August 1 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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