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Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
CF

Nashville
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Omsberg (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Chicago Fire

Wednesday's result could prove pivotal in their push for a playoff spot and we expect Nashville and Chicago to go all out in search of maximum points. The Boys in Gold have won their last two home games against Klopas's men and we are tipping them to come away with all three points here, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
47.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 24.52% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.25% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.13% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)46.36% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)68.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.02300000000001 0.02)19.71% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (0.035000000000004 0.04)51.72% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.1% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.107 0.11)66.24% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 47.23%
    Chicago Fire 28.25%
    Draw 24.52%
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Austin
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Nashville (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, August 1 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup


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