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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
41.82% ( -0.31) | 22.4% ( -0.2) | 35.79% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.01% ( 1.14) | 32.99% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.29% ( 1.3) | 54.71% ( -1.3) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.34) | 16.55% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( 0.61) | 46.32% ( -0.61) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.77) | 19.15% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.19% ( 1.25) | 50.81% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.79% |
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