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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.45%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
21.11% ( -0.26) | 20.44% ( -0.12) | 58.45% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.22) | 34.48% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.59% ( 0.25) | 56.41% ( -0.25) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( -0.12) | 65.34% ( 0.13) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( 0.18) | 11.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.27% ( 0.37) | 36.73% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.11% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.45% |
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