SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.02%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
42.02% ( -0.2) | 29.99% ( -0.13) | 27.99% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 40.51% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.5) | 66.25% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.24% ( 0.34) | 84.75% ( -0.34) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 0.14) | 31.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( 0.16) | 67.63% ( -0.17) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( 0.57) | 41.05% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( 0.5) | 77.6% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.26% Total : 27.98% |
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