SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.54% ( -0.31) | 22.12% ( 0.19) | 20.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.68) | 43.44% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( -0.68) | 65.83% ( 0.68) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.15% ( -0.33) | 14.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.83% ( -0.64) | 43.17% ( 0.64) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.27) | 35.24% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0.28) | 71.99% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.35% |
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