SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
34.96% ( 0.1) | 26.32% ( 0.03) | 38.72% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.09) | 51.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.08) | 73.44% ( 0.08) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.02) | 28.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( 0.02) | 63.98% ( -0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.11) | 26.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( -0.15) | 61.14% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.72% |
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