SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
63.97% ( 1.42) | 20.95% ( -0.66) | 15.08% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( 1.34) | 47.02% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( 1.24) | 69.26% ( -1.24) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% ( 0.88) | 14% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.47% ( 1.7) | 41.53% ( -1.7) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% ( -0.22) | 43.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% ( -0.18) | 79.76% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.59% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.95% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.08% |
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