SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
59.92% ( -0.11) | 20.37% ( -0.01) | 19.71% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% ( 0.21) | 36.24% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% ( 0.23) | 58.36% ( -0.23) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( 0.03) | 11.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.96% ( 0.07) | 37.04% ( -0.07) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( 0.24) | 31.69% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( 0.28) | 68.11% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 8% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.71% |
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