SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
58.7% ( 0.28) | 22.87% ( -0.08) | 18.43% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( 0.05) | 49.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( 0.04) | 71.4% ( -0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.11) | 16.49% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( 0.2) | 46.22% ( -0.21) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -0.21) | 40.72% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.19) | 77.31% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.69% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.43% |
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