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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
TF

Orlando City
1 - 2
Toronto

McGuire (36')
McGuire (55'), Araujo (67'), Lodeiro (75'), Lodeiro (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spicer (87'), Osei Owusu (90')
Gomis (11'), Osei Owusu (50'), Petretta (57'), Schlegel (90+3'), Johnson (90+3')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
70.02% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 18.48% (-0.026 -0.03) 11.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.63% (0.055 0.05)44.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (0.054000000000002 0.05)66.74% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (0.064 0.06)36.31% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)82.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 70.01%
    Toronto 11.5%
    Draw 18.48%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.77%
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 70.01%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.48%
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 11.5%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Orlando City
Wednesday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 Kansas
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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