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Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK
BMO Field
OC

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (63', 74')

Preview: Toronto vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Toronto vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

Another disappointing MLS campaign for Toronto will end on Saturday when they host Orlando City at BMO Field.

Heading into the final game of the regular season, the Reds are on a six-match losing run as they were beaten 3-0 by the New York Red Bulls in their previous encounter, while the Lions have won three in a row, squeaking past the New England Revolution 3-2.


Match preview

Saturday is Decision Day in MLS, though, in Toronto, there is nothing left to decide as they are assured of finishing dead-last in the overall table with just 22 points domestically thus far.

Even though this weekend spells the end of the season for the Reds, the club will hope it is just the beginning of their resurgence as John Herdman will be in the TFC dugout as head coach for the first time.

Herdman has transformed both the Canadian men's and women's national teams before, but his first club-level coaching experience could prove to be his most daunting task yet.

In 33 league fixtures this season, the Reds have only claimed four victories, all on home soil, though even if they triumph on Saturday, Toronto would still equal a club record for the fewest victories in a single MLS campaign set in 2012 (five).

Last season, this team conceded the third-most goals in the regular season (66), and in 2023, that backline has not been much better, giving up 57 thus far, with only the Los Angeles Galaxy allowing more (63).

Toronto have not just been losing a lot this season, but lately, they have struggled to put up much of a fight, with four of their last five MLS defeats being by three or more goals.

Over in the Sunshine State, the mood is a lot higher than the one at TFC, with the Lions unbeaten in their last four domestic outings and assured of finishing second in the Eastern Conference, the highest-ever finish for them in MLS.

Oscar Pareja has transformed this team, who narrowly sneaked into the post-season in 2021 and 22, into a contender that will begin the playoffs at home for the first time since 2020.

One area that has seen drastic improvements through the 2023 campaign has been their clinical finishing in the attacking third, with Orlando on 53 goals this season, two fewer than their best-ever MLS mark in 2016 and already nine more than they had a year ago.

Building a lead at the interval and playing a tight defensive system in the second half has been pivotal to their success, with this team unbeaten domestically all year when leading after 45 minutes.

With 60 points, the Lions have already set a new MLS club record in a single campaign, but if they can claim another three, Orlando City would surpass their all-time best mark from 2012 when they claimed 62 points in the USL Pro League.

Orlando have won the last three meetings versus the Reds by a 9-0 margin and have not lost an MLS match against them in Toronto since 2018 (2-1).

Toronto Major League Soccer form:

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:


Team News

Numerous Toronto players are likely to be unavailable for their final MLS fixture of the year, with Raoul Petretta (back spasms), Deandre Kerr (back spasms) Brandon Servania (lower body), Sigurd Rosted (lower body), Lorenzo Insigne (lower body), Adama Diomande (lower body), Themi Antonoglou (lower body), Greg Ranjitsingh (knee surgery) Sean Johnson (hand surgery) and Latif Blessing (concussion protocol) all dealing with injuries, while Michael Bradley has announced his retirement following their game on Saturday.

Interim manager Terry Dunfield made three changes to the starting 11 in his final match at the helm as Shane O'Neill, Franco Ibarra and Prince Owusu came in for Rosted, Victor Vazquez and Hugo Mbongue.

Toronto have not found the back of the net since their previous home fixture versus FC Cincinnati when Jonathan Osorio notched a brace in a 3-2 defeat, putting the Canadian international one behind Kerr and Federico Bernardeschi for the team lead this season.

Orlando could be missing two players for this encounter as Favian Loyola has a sore left arm and Adam Grinwis is unlikely to feature because of a left thigh injury.

In their previous fixture, Duncan McGuire notched his 13th of the year across all competitions, having netted in back-to-back MLS fixtures, Facundo Torres scored his team-leading 14th of the domestic campaign, Ivan Angulo put home his fifth in league play, while Mauricio Pereyra picked up his 11th and 12th assists of the regular season.

Rodrigo Schlegel picked up his 100th cap for the Lions in all competitions against New England, while Dan Thorhallsson was back in the starting 11 for that encounter after beginning their previous match versus Nashville SC (1-0 win) on the bench.

Toronto possible starting lineup:
Gavran; O'Neill, Bradley, Mabika, Marshall-Rutty; Gutierrez, Osorio, Vazquez, Coello; Owusu, Mailula

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Stajduhar; Smith, Schlegel, Jansson, Santos; Araujo, Urso; Torres, Pereyra, Angulo; McGuire


We say: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Premier League Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Austin FCAustin104331413115
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
7Houston DynamoHouston841398113
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
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