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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
AB

Osasuna
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Torro (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guruzeta (31'), Berenguer (74')
Guruzeta (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Osasuna
Saturday, December 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will be aiming to make it back-to-back away successes over Osasuna, but it is a big ask against the hosts, who have lost just once in front of their own fans this term; Athletic are a classy outfit, though, and we are backing them to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
27.78% (-0.513 -0.51) 27.93% (-0.256 -0.26) 44.29% (0.774 0.77)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.11% (0.647 0.65)59.88% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.493 0.49)80.15% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)37.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)74.42% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.714 0.71)26.92% (-0.711 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.926 0.93)62.24% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 27.78%
    Athletic Bilbao 44.28%
    Draw 27.93%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.78%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 13.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.73% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 44.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Osasuna
Saturday, December 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ceuta 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
Saturday, November 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, December 11 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Villarreal
Sunday, December 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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