Osasuna have won just three home league games this season, while Getafe have drawn five times on their travels. A case can be made for either team to triumph this weekend, but we believe that a close contest between two well-matched sides will end with the points being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
0.03) 
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