Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
47% ( 0.03)	24.19% ( -0)	28.82% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

-0.02)

44.51% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12% (

-0.02)

66.88% (

0.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

0.01)

19.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.32% (

0.01)

50.67% (

-0.01)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0.04)

28.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.04)

64.58% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 47%

Toluca 28.82%

Draw 24.18%

Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.23% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.82%