Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
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