There has been little to separate Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro in recent meetings, with no more than one goal scored in five of the last seven head-to-heads, and another tight affair could be in store on Thursday.
Both teams will be desperate to return to winning ways and boost their chances of securing a top-four finish, but with neither side firing on all cylinders, they may have to settle for a share of the spoils in Sao Paulo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
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