Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.62%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.05) 
