Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panathinaikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
64.91% ( -0.1) | 20.76% ( 0.05) | 14.33% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% ( -0.08) | 47.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% ( -0.07) | 69.89% ( 0.07) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( -0.06) | 13.93% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.61% ( -0.11) | 41.39% ( 0.11) |
Asteras Tripolis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.95% ( 0.04) | 45.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.03% ( 0.03) | 80.97% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Panathinaikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.76% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.33% |
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