SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
27.09% ( 1.3) | 21.68% ( 0.8) | 51.22% ( -2.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.27% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( -2.8) | 33.9% ( 2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( -3.25) | 55.75% ( 3.25) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.61) | 24.47% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( -0.87) | 58.91% ( 0.87) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -1.59) | 13.59% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.29% ( -3.27) | 40.71% ( 3.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.36)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.3)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.23)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.23% |
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