SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
50.89% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( 0) | 24.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.05) | 48.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.05) | 70.49% ( 0.05) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0) | 19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( -0.01) | 50.56% ( 0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.07) | 33.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.4% ( -0.07) | 70.6% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.89% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.73% |
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