SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
53.52% ( 0.59) | 23.8% ( -0.22) | 22.67% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0.54) | 47.94% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% ( 0.49) | 70.12% ( -0.49) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( 0.42) | 17.84% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( 0.73) | 48.59% ( -0.73) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.05) | 35.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.05) | 72.3% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.67% |
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