SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Liverpool |
58.21% ( -1.14) | 25.57% ( 0.57) | 16.22% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 38.52% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.1% ( -1) | 61.9% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% ( -0.75) | 81.66% ( 0.74) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0.87) | 21.44% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( -1.35) | 54.46% ( 1.35) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.03% ( 0.19) | 50.97% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.68% ( 0.13) | 85.32% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 16.82% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.55% Total : 16.22% |
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