SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Liverpool |
44.54% ( -0.02) | 27.56% ( 0) | 27.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% ( 0) | 58.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% ( 0) | 79.11% ( -0) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( -0.01) | 61.24% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.01) | 36.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% ( 0.01) | 73.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.9% |
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