SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.55% ( 0.25) | 21.16% ( -0.03) | 43.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 72.35% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.33% ( 0.22) | 26.67% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.29) | 47.07% ( -0.28) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 0.21) | 16.39% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.97% ( 0.38) | 46.03% ( -0.38) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 0.02) | 13.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.03) | 40.46% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.29% |
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