Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
