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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
58.34% ( 3.43) | 22.05% ( -0.88) | 19.61% ( -2.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.59) | 44.17% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 0.57) | 66.55% ( -0.57) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( 1.35) | 14.83% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( 2.52) | 43.14% ( -2.52) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -2.18) | 36.42% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -2.27) | 73.2% ( 2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.65)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.61% |
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