SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
66.29% ( 0.56) | 20.5% ( -0.28) | 13.21% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.53) | 48.95% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.48) | 71.03% ( -0.48) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( 0.34) | 13.91% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.66% ( 0.66) | 41.34% ( -0.66) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.12) | 47.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.12% ( -0.09) | 82.87% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.5% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 13.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
