SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
51.23% ( -0.08) | 24.23% ( 0.02) | 24.54% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.04) | 47.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( -0.03) | 70.11% ( 0.03) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( -0.04) | 18.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% ( -0.07) | 50.08% ( 0.07) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( 0.03) | 33.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 0.03) | 70.54% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
