Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.28) 
