SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Newcastle United |
54.99% ( 0.02) | 21.52% ( 0.01) | 23.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.05) | 36.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0.06) | 58.82% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.01) | 13.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.72% ( -0.03) | 40.28% ( 0.03) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.05) | 28.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.06) | 64.38% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.83% Total : 54.99% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 23.5% |
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