Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Newcastle United |
41.91% (![]() | 23.16% (![]() | 34.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.94% (![]() | 37.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.75% (![]() | 59.25% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% (![]() | 18.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.83% (![]() | 49.17% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% (![]() | 21.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% (![]() | 54.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.93% |
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