SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
81.39% ( -0.57) | 11.6% ( 0.33) | 7.01% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75% ( -0.78) | 25% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.08% ( -1.02) | 44.92% ( 1.02) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.39% ( -0.23) | 4.61% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.21% ( -0.71) | 18.79% ( 0.71) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.03) | 43.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( -0.02) | 79.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
| 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.21)5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 5.14% Total : 81.39% | 1-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.6% | 1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.01% |
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