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Champions League | League Stage
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
SD

PSV
3 - 2
Shakhtar

Tillman (87', 90'), Pepi (90+5')
Boscagli (59'), Saibari (84'), Tillman (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sikan (8'), Zubkov (37')
Kryskiv (87'), Pusic (90+1')
Pedrinho (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Shakhtar Donetsk

An impressive win over Girona last time out in this competition shows that PSV have the firepower in attack to progress to the knockouts, and they should fancy themselves to put on a similar show here. Despite a win over Young Boys on matchday four, and some brilliant form domestically, Shakhtar do not travel well and have shown their deficiencies against stronger clubs in this competition already this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawShakhtar Donetsk
73.38% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 15.66% (0.202 0.2) 10.96% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-1.271 -1.27)32.32% (1.269 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (-1.493 -1.49)53.93% (1.491 1.49)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (-0.325 -0.33)7.57% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.88% (-0.84399999999999 -0.84)27.11% (0.841 0.84)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-1.025 -1.03)40.39% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.943 -0.94)77% (0.94000000000001 0.94)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 73.38%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 10.96%
    Draw 15.66%
PSV EindhovenDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.354 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.404 0.4)
4-0 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.13% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.65% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 73.38%
1-1 @ 7.16% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.66%
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Girona
Tuesday, November 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 3-2 PSV
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 6-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSG 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 6-0 Inhulets
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-1 Luhansk
Sunday, November 10 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, November 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Shakhtar
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League


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