SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
48.5% ( 0.22) | 24.45% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.06) | 46.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.05) | 69.12% ( 0.05) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0.06) | 19.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( 0.11) | 51.19% ( -0.12) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.18) | 31.26% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( -0.21) | 67.62% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.04% |
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