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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Liverpool |
28.69% ( -0.07) | 28.17% ( 0.01) | 43.13% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% ( -0.08) | 60.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( -0.06) | 80.47% ( 0.06) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( -0.1) | 37.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( -0.1) | 73.92% ( 0.1) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.01) | 27.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( -0.01) | 63.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.13% |
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